Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.182230 2.513057 2.876917 3.306796 3.800857 4.351004 5.010276
2025-05-25 1.664997 2.083762 2.583342 3.223293 4.021636 4.985326 6.238116
2025-06-01 1.363564 1.833564 2.434989 3.261118 4.367270 5.798770 7.795175
2025-06-08 1.116787 1.600208 2.258365 3.220035 4.590803 6.477329 9.277048
2025-06-15 1.002068 1.519914 2.265182 3.416116 5.151228 7.674439 11.633502
2025-06-22 0.882318 1.409150 2.206474 3.501191 5.554794 8.694054 13.874863
2025-06-29 0.763688 1.278749 2.095025 3.482929 5.789240 9.479789 15.858899
2025-07-06 0.640203 1.119928 1.913315 3.320982 5.763071 9.839738 17.194564
2025-07-13 0.590884 1.076671 1.912634 3.455880 6.242793 11.082062 20.168172
2025-07-20 0.553565 1.048045 1.931293 3.623748 6.797471 12.516071 23.663239
2025-07-27 0.511515 1.004126 1.915586 3.724726 7.240228 13.799960 27.047783
2025-08-03 0.471267 0.957472 1.887687 3.796882 7.634414 15.036642 30.497484
2025-08-10 0.414142 0.871426 1.776654 3.699054 7.698653 15.678881 32.928669
2025-08-17 0.356674 0.776370 1.635028 3.519688 7.573634 15.931059 34.605342
2025-08-24 0.323282 0.727097 1.579979 3.512577 7.805595 16.939661 38.013668
2025-08-31 0.288605 0.669960 1.500553 3.441502 7.889237 17.645444 40.862457
2025-09-07 0.278658 0.666918 1.538011 3.635014 8.586724 19.772668 47.199269
2025-09-14 0.261165 0.643801 1.527290 3.716240 9.037440 21.405295 52.619834
2025-09-21 0.238460 0.604924 1.474965 3.691622 9.234141 22.477024 56.850928
2025-09-28 0.209322 0.546004 1.367258 3.517149 9.041898 22.601148 58.768820
2025-10-05 0.201096 0.538910 1.384831 3.658341 9.657942 24.770603 66.161921
2025-10-12 0.195125 0.536839 1.414644 3.835044 10.389409 27.322562 74.908701
2025-10-19 0.185974 0.524944 1.417640 3.941327 10.949661 29.507731 82.985068